R0 estimation of the SARS-COV-2

The following articles have estimated the mean value of R0 of SARS-COV-2 to be:

  • 2.2 in article [1]
  • 2.2 in article [2]
  • 4.4-4.5 in article [3]
  • 2.28 in article [4]
  • 3.11 in article [5]
  • 5.7 in article [6]

Confidence intervals of the above estimations are found in the sources bleow:

[1] Early Transmission Dynamics in Wuhan, China, of Novel Coronavirus–Infected Pneumonia, The New England Journal of Medicine, 26 March 2020 –
https://www.nejm.org/doi/10.1056/NEJMoa2001316

[2] Pattern of Early Human-To-Human Transmission of Wuhan 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV), December 2019 to January 2020, Jan 2020 – https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32019669/

[3] Time-varying transmission dynamics of Novel Coronavirus Pneumonia in China
13 Feb 2020, R0 = 4.4 and 4.5 (in two different regions in China) – https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.01.25.919787v2

[4] Νovel coronavirus 2019-nCoV: early estimation of epidemiological parameters and epidemic predictions, 28 Jan 2020, https://www.medrxiv.org/conte…/10.1101/2020.01.23.20018549v2

[5] Estimation of the reproductive number of novel coronavirus (COVID-19) and the probable outbreak size on the Diamond Princess cruise ship: A data-driven analysis
22 Feb 2020 – https://www.ijidonline.com/a…/S1201-9712(20)30091-6/fulltext

[6] High Contagiousness and Rapid Spread of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus, Emerging Infectious Diseases; pre-publication of July 2020 – https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/26/7/20-0282_article

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